4 Sept · 02:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1577
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nocun
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1468
FormWLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 67% · 1.50· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H13-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-6)