4 Sept · 03:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1468
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wolny
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1436
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.