4 Sept · 03:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1385
FormLWLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1597
FormLWLWW
28%
72%
🌟Jurowicz stays under total as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~73 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+212
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+212)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)