4 Sept · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1577
FormWLWWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Nocun
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1339
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+238
H2H31-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+238)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-9)