4 Sept · 02:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1682
FormWWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Hetnar
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1585
FormLWWWW
61%
39%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H25-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-24)