4 Sept · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1419
FormLLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
🌟Mugowski covers set handicap as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)