4 Sept · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1453
FormLWWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tobiasz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1394
FormLLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (71)
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H11-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-5)