4 Sept · 09:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1314
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Sulkowski
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1443
FormLWWLW
36%
64%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Sulkowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)