4 Sept · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1639
FormWWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Poliniewicz
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1587
FormWWLWW
56%
44%
🌟Solilo stays under total as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H4-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)