4 Sept · 10:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1479
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Niemiec
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1402
FormWLLWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Niemiec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)