4 Sept · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1332
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Myszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1308
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Myszewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H15-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.