4 Sept · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1584
FormWLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Lebek
YF
🇵🇱Yurij Fomin
ELO 1438
FormLLLWL
66%
34%
🌟Fomin stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Lebek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)