4 Sept · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1561
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Wisniewski
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1609
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 19% (43)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H21-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-8)