4 Sept · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1457
FormLWLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1546
FormWWLWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)