4 Sept · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Poliniewicz
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1609
FormWLWLL
56%
44%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 73% (15)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+51
H2H82-104
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)