Jakub Kaczmarek vs Sebastian Szostok — TT Elite Series

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04 Sep · 09:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek

ELO 1404

2-3Final setsSzostok won

🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok

ELO 1546

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szostok at 60%. The actual result was Sebastian Szostok 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Jakub Kaczmarek — profile →Sebastian Szostok — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Sebastian Szostok favoured — closing 1.25

Favourite won

Total 73.5

92 points played

Over

Set handicap

Sebastian Szostok −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Sebastian Szostok −7.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Szostok.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 36% → final 4%

Sebastian Szostok ▼

Biggest swing 60 ptsSzostok recovered from 36%72 points · 5 games