4 Sept · 15:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Mateusz Misiak
ELO 1427
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Misiak
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1318
FormWLWLL
62%
38%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Misiak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H30-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-6)