4 Sept · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1480
FormLWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1610
FormLWLWW
36%
64%
🌟Niemiec covers set handicap as underdog 71% (14)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+130
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)