4 Sept · 14:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1452
FormLLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1554
FormWLLLL
39%
61%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H14-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-12)