4 Sept · 14:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1318
FormWLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Lilien
AL
🇵🇱Aleksander Lilien
ELO 1480
FormWWWWL
33%
67%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Lilien
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)