4 Sept · 13:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1610
FormLWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Wichowski
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1400
FormLLWWL
72%
28%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 65% (71)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+210
H2H13-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+210)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-4)