4 Sept · 17:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1609
FormLWWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Wichowski
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1446
FormLLLLW
67%
33%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H86-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (86-22)