4 Sept · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1480
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Oracz
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1647
FormWLLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+167
H2H21-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+167)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-7)