4 Sept · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1288
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wnek
SW
🇵🇱Stanislaw Wnek
ELO 1320
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strus🌟Wnek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (45)
Fair odds · Wnek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H37-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.