4 Sept · 18:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1642
FormLLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pawlik
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1573
FormLWWLW
58%
42%
🌟Krutak covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Pawlik
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H9-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)