4 Sept · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1474
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Niemiec
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1392
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek🌟Niemiec rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H3-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)