4 Sept · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Poloszczanski
ELO 1332
FormWLLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1417
FormLLWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Poloszczanski🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)