5 Sept · 08:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1567
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Lach
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1583
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.