5 Sept · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1279
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Rolak
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1327
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Rolak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Rolak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)