5 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1583
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Adamus
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1550
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.