5 Sept · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1402
FormWLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wozniak
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1420
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Wozniak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H12-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.