5 Sept · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1322
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1389
FormWLLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H16-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-2)