5 Sept · 07:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1434
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1486
FormWWWWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)