5 Sept · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1385
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Iwasyszyn
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1350
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.