5 Sept · 07:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇵🇱Piotr Zemla
ELO 1550
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1555
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.