5 Sept · 06:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1279
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1350
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+71
H2H19-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)