5 Sept · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1486
FormLWLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Bernacki
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1247
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
🌟Bernacki rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (13)
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+239
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+239)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)