5 Sept · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1502
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Minda
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1353
FormWLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+149
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)