5 Sept · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1322
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Jesiek
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1493
FormLLWWL
32%
68%
🌟Adach stays under total as underdog 88% (16)
Fair odds · Jesiek
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)