5 Sept · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gronowski
ELO 1378
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Przewlocki
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1401
FormLWWLL
47%
53%
🌟Gronowski covers set handicap as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.