5 Sept · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1390
FormLWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Iwasyszyn
MZ
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1304
FormWWWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Iwasyszyn
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+86
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)