5 Sept · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1305
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Szoltysek
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1336
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.