5 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1573
FormLWLWL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
JJ
🇵🇱Jakub Jesiek
ELO 1495
FormLWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+78
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)