5 Sept · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marcin Lach
ELO 1575
FormLWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Lach
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1443
FormWLLWL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Lach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)