5 Sept · 11:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1329
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Szoltysek
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1295
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Szoltysek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.