5 Sept · 11:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1428
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klocek
JW
🇵🇱Jakub Wozniak
ELO 1422
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.