5 Sept · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1409
FormLLWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Juszczyk
KJ
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1572
FormLWWWW
33%
67%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 69% (49)
Fair odds · Juszczyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+163
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+163)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)