5 Sept · 20:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1669
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Kocik
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jedrzejowski
ELO 1666
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.