5 Sept · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1222
FormWLLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Gesiarz
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1488
FormLWWLW
24%
76%
🌟Gesiarz stays under total as favourite 66% (35)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+266
H2H29-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+266)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (29-15)