5 Sept · 19:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1669
FormWWWWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Kocik
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1488
FormLWWLW
69%
31%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+181
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)